EXXI: Q211 Results

JOSEPH MAGNER, Macquarie Capital (02/08/2011)
"EXXI reported Q211 results late last week, which were somewhat mixed due to several onetime items mostly tied to refinancing initiatives aimed at tidying up the balance sheet in preparation for the large GOM acquisition. Adjusted Q211 EPS came in at US$0.21—well above our estimate of US$0.10 and consensus of US$0.09. CFPS of US$0.73 vs. our estimate of US$1.12 and consensus of US$1.02. Production of 29.4 Mboe/d was 1% below our 29.6 Mboe/d estimate, which we consider a great outcome given the GOM operating environment and the sizeable transaction that closed in mid-December.

While Q211 results were mixed, the outlook for EXXI continues to be positive driven by the progress being made in the ultra-deep GOM exploration program. The latest interim update on the Davy Jones #2 well (EXXI 15.8%WI) suggests the well has encountered ~100 net feet of pay in multiple Wilcox zones that appear to be hydrocarbon bearing. There are also multiple pending catalysts in the program as Davy Jones #2 and Blackbeard East approach total depth.

We reiterate our Outperform rating and US$42 target price on EXXI. The company's operational momentum continues to build and the ultra-deep program still provides option upside with more results expected soon."

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