EXXI's Davy Jones Still Strong

CHRIS PIKUL, Morgan Keegan (01/19/2011)
"Offshore exploration is vastly different than the shale revolution underway onshore in the U.S. Thus, as the ultra-deep exploration in the Gulf of Mexico unfolds for Energy XXI investors, a certain degree of patience and aplomb is called for. Following yesterday's update from McMoran (the operator of the Blackbeard and Davy Jones wells), it is easy to entertain pre-conceived notions of success or failure, resulting in knee-jerk reactions among investors. Thus, while EXXI shares were down only modestly yesterday, amidst what was overall a positive update in our opinion, the fact remains that we are still waiting for pivotal data from two key ultra-deep wells near-term. Given our proved-only NAV estimate of about $28 per share (on $90 oil), and discounted peer-group valuation multiples, we reiterate our Outperform rating and $40 price target on EXXI shares ahead of what remains significant potential from Davy Jones."

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