NGP: Ormat Steps in as JV Partner

SEAN PEASGOOD, Wellington West Capital Markets (11/30/2010)
"Closure of the John Hancock loan facility, a $10M private placement and a recent JV with Ormat increases our confidence in NGP's ability to fund developmental projects. The company plans to increase power production at the Faulkner 1 plant to 43 MW (net) from 37 MW (net) and a recent JV with Ormat is expected to bring a 30 MW plant online at Crump Geyser by 2013. Rapid advancement of exploratory and development activities across existing projects are catalysts that could help maintain the positive momentum in the stock. Finally, interest expense should begin to decline following the increased debt weighting towards the $98.5 million loan facility with John Hancock at 4.14% interest rate. This interest rate is 70% lower than the cost of the $164M TCW loan, which was reduced to $85.8M by the JH facility subsequent to quarter end.

We reiterate our Speculative Buy rating and CAD$0.90 target. Our target implies 1.0x risked NAV and 0.7x our unrisked NAV. As NGP advances projects and continues to successfully set up financing, we expect the stock to eventually approach our unrisked NAV of CAD$1.32 per share."

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