Counting the Days on Energy XXI

ANDREW COLEMAN, Madison, Williams & Co. (12/13/2010)
"Counting down the days. With drilling continuing on all three ultra-deep wells—Blackbeard East, Davy Jones #2, and Lafitte—the potential for impactful news remains high. After accounting for the XOM asset acquisition, we see each 1 Tcfe of gross reserves discovered in the Ultra-Deep Shelf trend being worth $3 / share, net to EXXI.

XOM assets add size/scale. Proforma for the assets acquired from Exxon Mobil, EXXI will be the second largest producer on the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) Shelf. Upside on the assets acquired include around 150 prospects equating to approximately 6 Tcfe of unbooked reserves. Flattening the decline on the acquired assets is the primary near-term goal.

Valuation: Reiterating our $35 price target."

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