ETP's Coming Surge

MICHAEL BLUM, Wells Fargo (12/09/2010)
"ETP is currently transporting 60 MMcf/d of natural gas on its ETC Bobcat and Jarvisville pipelines in the Marcellus Shale. Management anticipates volumes on these pipelines could increase to 150 MMcf/d by the end of Q111. Management reiterated its intent to resume distribution growth in 2011 and expects to maintain a coverage ratio of approximately 1.05x at ETP. ETP remains bearish on natural gas prices and anticipates pricing could reach trough levels in 2011. Management noted the possibility of expanding capacity on the Phoenix Lateral (part of ETP's Transwestern pipeline) due to increased natural gas demand from power plants and LDCs. On the partnership's Tiger pipeline, ETP noted that 2.4 Bcf/d of capacity (includes 0.4 Bcf/d planned expansion) is sold under 10-15 year agreements. Notably, 1.0 Bcf/d of the total capacity is contracted by Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK). Management noted that ETE, if necessary, could subsidize future acquisitions on a one-off basis to augment accretion at ETP. Management continues to evaluate a potential merger of ETP/ETE."

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