RPG: San Jacinto Fully Financed, Advancing on Schedule

Sean Peasgood Sean Peasgood, Sophic Capital (11/17/2010)
"San Jacinto on track; phase 1 expected to be online by Q211 and phase 2 by Q112. RPG expects to spend a total of $190M for SJT 1&2. SJT is estimated to generate EBITDA of $17M in FY11 and $45M in FY12. We estimate Ram Power's un-risked NAV to be near CAD$12.80 per fully diluted, fully financed share based on the company's prospects for geothermal power operations in the Americas. We continue to have a positive view on the macro fundamentals for geothermal energy given its green energy attributes, base-load nature and competitive levelized cost vs. other energy sources. Specifically in the western U.S., there is a strong appetite for geothermal power given state-enacted Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS), which mandate certain levels of electricity required to be delivered from renewable sources by a future date. In addition, with an increasing concern about U.S. energy security, geothermal offers a highly reliable, low-cost resource that is not reliant on imported fossil fuels.

We reiterate Buy rating and CAD$4.50 price target. RPG's shares are attractive at 0.5x FDFF risked NAV and 0.2x FDFF unrisked NAV. We expect the stock to appreciate as RPG advances projects. We believe the current stock price presents investors with an excellent entry point into a company with a strong project portfolio (near-term projects, fully financed) and a management team with significant experience bringing projects online."

For more independent commentary, click here: Ram Power Corp. RPG:TSX

Related Articles: