NVS: Highly Leveraged to Viking Upside

WENDY LIU, Desjardins Securities (10/13/2010)
"Viking supercharged, with explosive growth potential; initiating coverage with a Buy rating and C$1.25/share target As Viking development continues to advance, we believe there is material production and reserves growth to be realized. In a scenario where 'more is better,' enter Novus. It is one of the few (almost) pure Viking players in the sector, and we estimate it has among the highest leverage to the upside potential from this resource play.

On production and cash flow metrics, Novus trades at a slight premium to its peers; but, given the early stage of resource development that characterizes the company, we believe a NAV measure should be considered. As the stock trades at only 0.7x our combined resource-build NAV estimate, we see a good opportunity to gain exposure to the Viking play."

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