EEP: Ignore the Noise

JOHN EDWARDS, Morgan Keegan (10/18/2010)
"Lines 6A and 6B are up and running: Now that both of the Enbridge Energy Partners' (EEP) pipelines have been repaired and returned to service, we are assessing the ultimate impact of the twin ruptures.

Assuming $400M one-time charge in Q3: We are assuming that EEP will take a one-time charge of approximately $400M to cover the cleanup costs associated with the Marshall, MI and Romeoville, IL oil spills. We are modeling that EEP gets reimbursed for $390M ($10M in deductibles) in Q111.

Ignore the noise: Though it was ignored in the hoopla of the oil spills, we believe that EEP's Elk City acquisition and commitment to a Bakken Expansion were extremely positive developments. We are raising our price target by $4 to $66. Adding $4.16/unit of distributions results in a total return potential of 14%-22%."

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