ATLS: Executing Nicely in the Marcellus Shale

JACK AYDIN, KeyBanc Capital Markets (10/13/2010)
"This morning, Atlas Energy issued Q310 production volumes and provided an update on its Marcellus Shale results. During Q310, ATLS' production averaged 118.3 MMcfe/d— 4.7% above our estimate of 113.0 MMcfe/d. During the quarter, ATLS frac'd and completed 12 wells with an average initial peak rate of 6.8 MMcfe/d—stronger than the 5.1 MMcfe/d from eight wells in Q210. Included in the batch of wells, ATLS had a monster well in Westmoreland County, which achieved an initial rate of 20.9 MMcfe/d.

Overall, we believe ATLS issued a positive update and expect shares to gain some momentum into year-end as the company has the first phase of Expansion Gathering system in place by late Q410. We believe ATLS is executing nicely in the Marcellus Shale and is setting up for significant production, proved reserve and NAV growth over the next five years. We reaffirm our BUY rating and price target of $48/share."

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