ATLS: Attractively Structured JV

AMIR ARIF, Stifel Nicolaus (10/06/2010)
"Atlas Energy: We continue to believe that any entry point under $30 is a great price for those investors willing to have patience for the coming 6–12 months. Once new takeaway capacity is added in late December, meaningful production growth should resume in Q111 and beyond. More importantly, while the name screens high from a balance-sheet perspective, we believe the company will enjoy very strong production growth in 2011, while essentially living within cash flow, thanks to its attractively structured JV. Therefore, as takeaway volumes come on in December, volume growth returns in H111 and production/EBITDA grow without any material change to the balance sheet, this name should do well. . .again the key driver will be development on takeaway capacity and the closer we get to the start-up date for some of those compressors, the stock will continue to creep higher, in our opinion."

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