EEP Gets a Bump

RICHARD GROSS, Barclays Capital (07/27/2010)
"EEP reported a 2Q beat, [with] EBITDA [of] $270MM vs. our $240MM estimate and $244MM consensus. Compared to our estimate, the upside surprise was attributable to higher volumes and margins in the Liquids Segment. On [a] YoY basis, EBITDA is up 16% due to contributions from crude pipeline expansions, higher crude tariffs more than offsetting lower natural gas volumes. The distribution bump occurred sooner than expected. EEP raised its quarterly distribution 3.8% YoY and 2.5% sequentially to $1.0275 per unit ($4.11 annualized). We were not expecting a bump until 4Q. EEP has already met its 2%-5% distribution growth guidance. Assuming no further increases in 2010, EEP will post 3.2% distribution growth. Given EEP's recent outperformance (up 9.8% vs. [the] Alerian MLP Index, up 6.3%, and [the] S&P500, up 8.1% in July) and the announcement of a relatively small crude oil pipeline spill in Michigan, we would not be surprised to see near-term profit-taking in EEP."

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