TGL: Q210 Results

ALEXANDER KLEIN, Dundee Securities (08/06/2010)
"Despite the implementation of a fracture stimulation program at the Arta field in West Gharib, Egypt toward the end of Q110. . .TransGlobe still reported production sequentially lower quarter over quarter. The main reason appears to be a combination of shut-in production at West Gharib due to workovers and liner installations on fractured wells, in addition to natural declines.

Even though production was restored in July and incremental production was added from additional fracture stimulations, July production at West Gharib is up only marginally from the previous peak production reported in May.

. . .Notwithstanding the risk of lower production for 2010, the expanding Nukhul play provides substantial development potential through 2011 and 2012. In addition, we believe the Safwa discovery in East Ghazalat will be commercialized in early 2011, providing more incremental production. The company also has an inventory of exploration prospects that provide further potential upside. . .We are maintaining our BUY recommendation and $9.50 12-month target price."

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