J.P. Morgan Raises Target on ETP

XIN LIU, J.P. Morgan (08/20/2010)
"ETP reported Q210 DPU of $0.55, above our estimated $0.44. Better-than-expected results from the Intrastate Transportation segment drove the beat. . .We establish ETP's December 2011 price target at $48 (replacing our December 2010 PT of $45).

Intrastate volumes should benefit from wider differentials in Q310; hedged 100% of fuel retention volumes. Adjusted segment EBITDA of $180MM was ahead of our estimated $155MM on better-than-expected volumes. Ramping up operations in multiple shale plays—ETP earlier announced the 645 mmcf/d East Texas pipeline project in the Haynesville shale [and] expects full service by Q410 (partial service by Q310). The company also plans a 50-mile, 350 mmcf/d pipeline in the Eagle Ford shale and forecasts volumes ramping up in 2011. In the Marcellus shale, ETP expects to commence operations on its $35MM gathering project in West Virginia by Q310. ETP estimates volumes to ramp up to 100 mmcf/d on the system by Q111."

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