ETX: Q2 Capacity Ramp Ahead of Forecast

MARVIN WOLFF, Paradigm Capital Inc. (08/17/2010)
"Etrion reported Q2 revenues of $127K and a loss of $0.03/sh, in line with expectations. The company's strong management team is showing it can execute its aggressive growth plan giving us confidence in our robust forecast.

Buy at Current Price for Attractive Return: 1-Year Target Price $1.85.
We recommend the shares of Etrion as a Buy with a 1-year share price target of $1.85. However, we see Etrion as a growth vehicle in the European solar power-provider space and can envisage growth in 2012 to 140MW, which would imply an EBITDA of $96.3M (Q4 run-rate basis) and a 2-year share price target of $2.45. With more than 100MW of permits in hand at that time, we do not expect the growth in revenues and profits to stop in 2012. Also, the strong cash-flow generation of the company will allow quick debt repayment and, thus, more growth capacity and EBITDA and EPS expansion."

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