TGL: Q2 Production Down Slightly

ALEXANDER KLEIN, Dundee Securities (08/06/2010)
"Despite the implementation of a fracture stimulation program at the Arta field in West Gharib Egypt towards the end of Q110 that resulted in material incremental production increases, TransGlobe still reported production sequentially lower quarter-over-quarter. Production for Q210 averaged 9,206 bbls/d 5% below our 9,664 bbls/d forecast. This production rate is a 5% decrease over the previous quarter.

Notwithstanding the risk of lower production for 2010, the expanding Nukhul play provides substantial development potential through 2011 and 2012. In addition, we believe the Safwa discovery in East Ghazalat will be commercialized in early 2011, providing more incremental production. The company also has an inventory of exploration prospects that provide further potential upside. We are maintaining our BUY recommendation and $9.50 12-month target price."

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