VST: Qara Dagh Seismic Program Complete

KEVIN SHAW, Wellington West Capital Markets (11/03/2009)
Qara Dagh seismic program complete, three locations identified
VST acquired 355 km of 2D seismic over Qara Dagh; the three subsurface targets are believed to extend across the Cretaceous, Jurassic and Triassic.

Third-party prospective resource estimate (51-101 compliant) underway
The independent report is expected to be completed by December 2009; we plan to refine our 'blue-sky' estimates following the report's release.

First Qara Dagh exploration well set to spud in Q110
First well could put considerable potential in play; we model a 350 mmbbls gross oil discovery carrying net un-risked NPV/sh value of $1.86.

VST shares trading at ~0.5x our risked EMV/sh of $1.23
Our $1.25 target is driven by risked EMV/sh est. of $1.23, which is based on gross un-risked resource potential of 600 mmbbls for three structures.

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