RPG: Advancing Projects

SEAN PEASGOOD, Wellington West Capital Markets (05/17/2010)
Projects are advancing on schedule; patient investors will be rewarded.
  • Q1 results do not change outlook; the focus is on development.
    Investors should focus on project development as Q1 results provide little insight into future earnings. Q1 revenue was $974K; adj. EPS was (1¢).
  • Projects advancing on time with SJT expected to be online in 2011.
    Additional 36MW online in Q1/11 with total 72MW by Q4/11. Remaining 2010 capex expected to be ~$143M with SJT requiring $98M.
  • Looking to fast track revenue at the Geysers through steam sale.
    We believe Ram is close to finalizing a deal at the Geysers to sell the steam in a JV. This would provide recurring rev. sooner than expected.
  • Reiterating Buy rating and C$4.50 price target.
    RPG's shares are attractive at 0.6x FDFF risked NAV and 0.2x FDFF unrisked NAV. As projects come online, the stock should react positively.

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