Signs of Life from Spring Breakup with E&P Financings on the Rise

GREG COLMAN, Wellington West Capital Markets (05/25/2009)
N.A. rig count pulls back 1% to 974 but CAD count bounces 9%.
U.S. gas rig count at 711 vs. our 850 – 1,100E needed to maintain flat prod. With road bans coming off, Canadian count may be starting to rebound.

Equity capital markets showing improvement – BS's strengthening.
Trailing three month equity finances up 164% since Feb, 264% since Dec w/ $613mm raised for domestic energy in March-May for BS repair, capX.

Anecdotal evidence suggests operators expanding budgets off lows.
Example; proceeds of PBC $100mm raise 'potentially lead to an expanded 2009 drilling program focused on the Bakken light oil play in [SK].'1.

Continue to believe deep & horizontal focus will lead rebound.
Economic dominance of shale gas, hztl-only plays (light oil Bakken) reinforces focus on deep fleets (TDG), hztl services (CET.UN, PHX.UN).

 PRINT THIS PAGE   EMAIL THIS PAGE

Under SEC rules, analysts are required to disclose their interest in securities that they cover. We strongly encourage you to contact them to understand any potential conflicts of interest they may have.

Related Quotes: