TLH: Value Realization in Discovery

Morning Notes (04/28/2011)
"I just finished an extensive due diligence program on Talison at its Greenbushes [and] am convinced this company is not a traditional junior exploration company but a rapidly developing Legacy resource company comparable to a major resource producer, Goldcorp. It's clear that Talison is rapidly developing into a significant cash-flow machine. With the world's highest-grade lithium deposit in production and its largest lithium concentrate production, TLH is a veritable cash-flow machine.

Talison's market cap is $444M today, while that of Lithium Exploration Group is ~$350M and Talison is in production and generating profits and cash flows, while LEG is not. So what's up? Never confuse value with price and never assume the market is so efficient that it will adjust prices to value instantaneously—that's a falsehood. . .sometimes prices remain at significant discounts to value for a very long time. That, I think, is the case with Talison. With no disrespect to LEG, we think TLH is worth a significantly higher valuation than its trading range today and believe the market, in the future, will sort out these value-price disparities. Talison has the potential for significant double-digit pricing."

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