Condor Energies Inc. (CDR:TSX.V) acquired its first modular liquid natural gas (mLNG) production facility in Kazakhstan for US$6.5 million (US$6.5M), "which will form the cornerstone of the country's inaugural LNG production," reported Bill Newman, Research Capital Corp. analyst, in a May 14 research note.
"Overall, we view this as a positive update," Newman wrote.
194% Uplift Possible
Research Capital maintained its CA$5.15 per share (CA$5.15/share) target price on Condor, trading at the time of the report at about CA$1.75/share, noted Newman. The target implies a potential return of 194%.
The company is rated Speculative Buy. It has 67.4 million (67.4M) basic shares outstanding and 75.5M fully diluted shares outstanding. Its market cap is CA$118M. Its 52-week range is CA$0.86–2.90/share.
Progress in Kazakhstan
Newman reviewed the LNG projects Condor has underway in Kazakhstan. The oil and gas company's acquisition of the mLNG facility, which can produce 48,000 gallons per day (48,000 gal/d) of LNG, or 80 metric tons per day, is completed. Construction needs finishing and commissioning done, requiring another US$18.6M (CA$26.7M). To fund this, the company is finalizing LNG offtake agreements and pursuing multiple financing options. Facility fabrication is expected to be done in Q4/25 and followed by initial LNG production in Q2/26.
The Canadian company secured a third feed gas allocation, which will allow it to maximize use of the new facility and support expansion. It plans two more, same-size mLNG units at the site.
Also in Kazakhstan, Condor continues to make progress with the mLNG developments at its Alga and Kuryk sites. At Alga, a final investment decision is expected in Q4/25 and production at a 100,000 gal/d facility anticipated in Q2/27. The potential 125,000 gal/d Kuryk project is still being evaluated.
Altogether, noted the analyst, Condor's planned LNG facilities in Kazakhstan are expected to produce volumes equivalent to 1.5 million liters of diesel per day, providing a cleaner, more cost effective fuel alternative. This is particularly favorable given the area's expanding transportation and industrial sectors.
"These projects, supported by multiple secured gas allocations, position Condor as a first mover in Central Asia's LNG market," Newman wrote.
Updates on Uzbekistan
In Uzbekistan, Condor's Q1/25 production averaged 11,179 barrels of oil equivalent per day (11,179 boe/d), a 6% increase over Q4/24, attributed to infrastructure optimization and successful workovers, including perforating new pay zones, applying stimulation techniques and installing artificial lift systems, Newman reported. The company's three recently completed workovers together added 1,950 boe/d to production, based on initial seven-day rates.
Later this year, in Q3/25, Condor plans to commence a multi-well drill program, incorporating both infill vertical and horizontal wells, and multilateral. Also, the company is commissioning three additional in-field flowline water separation units, expected to boost production.
"The company continues to build natural gas production in Uzbekistan through low-cost, high-impact workovers and an upcoming multi-well drilling program, further reinforcing its diversified growth strategy," wrote Newman.
What to Watch For
Condor's near-term catalysts include production updates from Uzbekistan and in Q2/26, first LNG production from Kazakhstan, Newman noted.
Drilling and testing of two wells to confirm lithium concentrations, in Kazakhstan, also is slated for the future, the date yet to be determined.
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Disclosures for Research Capital Corp., Condor Energies Inc., May 14, 2025
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