Oil Prices Halved Over Past Few Months

Technical Scoop (10/20/2008)
"...oil and gas stocks are trading at P/E levels not seen in years, and as if oil were $20/barrel and not the current $70. Nonetheless oil prices have halved over the past few months because of declining demand, particularly in the US (daily consumption has fallen from almost 21 million barrels to around 19 million). With prices falling, OPEC is considering production cuts and many oil producers are facing a credit crunch and may be forced to curtail production as well. The high-flying Alberta oil patch has been rudely brought back to earth with one of the more devastating collapses in the stock market.

In inflation-adjusted terms oil prices have fallen back to levels seen late last year and are now back below the peak levels of 1980. The Oil/XOI ratio has jumped in recent weeks and is either poised to break out through a key level of resistance or will turn back down once again. As we note, oil stocks are like gold stocks, at their lowest and cheapest levels since the 2002 lows."

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