TGL: Multi-Well Drill Program in 2010?

Weekly Energy Review (12/03/2009)
"On November 25, TransGlobe announced corporate guidance for 2010 capital expenditures and production. Company spending is estimated at US$46.1 million with 80% focused on development and 20% on exploration. The company plans to drill 20 firm wells and has eight contingent wells in Egypt and Yemen. TransGlobe management expects that production will average 9,300 bbl/d to 9,700 bbl/d for the year.

This is the first announcement of what the company's 2010 program will look like. Next year has more exploration in Yemen, but the company's focus remains on exploration and development in Egypt.

While we have a minor decrease to our production and cash flow estimates for next year, on review, we note that the company's plans for 2010 are more positive than our previous assumptions. We include risked production additions from drilling success in Egypt, but actual results could see the company exit 2010 at better than 10,000 bbl/d.

Our target price of C$4.50 and BUY recommendation remain unchanged, despite modest adjustments to our 2010 estimates. Our target price continues to be based on a 5.5x multiple of 2010E debt-adjusted cash flow per share. The next catalyst will be the test results of the horizontal well drilled on the Arta field in Egypt. Success on this well could set up a multi-well development drilling program for 2010, exposing the company to a potential of an incremental 5 million barrels of oil reserves."

 PRINT THIS PAGE   EMAIL THIS PAGE

Under SEC rules, analysts are required to disclose their interest in securities that they cover. We strongly encourage you to contact them to understand any potential conflicts of interest they may have.

Related Quotes: